Over/Under – Dartmouth Edition

OverUnder15 minutes for Cam Gunter – UNDER

The junior forward had a career night Friday against Harvard, scoring 10 points and grabbing nine boards in just 15 minutes of play. Off of a breakout performance like that, the fans might expect to see more of Gunter. But for the most part, Gunter was forced into action due to Henry Brooks’ foul trouble and Darien Nelson-Henry’s limited minutes coming back from injury. Both of those players should see more minutes tonight, which means less court time for Gunter.

60 points for Dartmouth – UNDER

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Over/Under – Harvard Edition

OverUnder

17 points for Miles Cartwright-OVER

Cartwright is 34 points away from 1,000 points for his career. I am betting that he gets more than half of those points against Harvard. Cartwright has been white hot as of late. He has topped 20 points in three of the last five games, including a career high 28 points against Brown. With Dougherty and Rennard out, Cartwright will have the ball in his hands for key plays. Furthermore, Harvard is last in the Ivy League in scoring defense. The Crimson surrender 71.8 points per game to their opponents.

 20 minutes for Darien Nelson-Henry–UNDER

Nelson-Henry is averaging just over 20 min/game in Ivy play. Nelson-Henry injured his left knee in Friday’s game against Yale and sat out Saturday’s game against Brown. On Monday, former Senior Sports Editor Megan Soisson confirmed that Nelson-Henry is 100% for Harvard tonight. Still, I doubt Allen will test Nelson-Henry’s health on a game that is meaningless for the Quakers. I expect Nelson-Henry to start and play about 15 minutes for the Quakers.

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Over/Under – Cornell Edition

OverUnder10 points for Fran Dougherty – UNDER

Fran won’t see significantly more minutes just a day after returning to the floor, which is bad news for his point totals. Doc will need to get into a rhythm as the season goes on, but he’ll also have to do it, at least for now, in limited minutes. He looked off, with a lot of the shots that were falling consistently for him in the early part of the season just rimming out on Friday.

10 minutes for Jamal Lewis – UNDER

I’m thinking with my heart more than my head here, because unless you turn in a performance like Lewis did on Friday (two turnovers, three personal fouls) in the seven minutes of playing time that he received against the Lions, it’s hard not to get at least 10 minutes on the floor when you’re the team’s starting point guard.

But Tony Hicks was passing rather effectively last night, even though some opportunities didn’t get converted, and if Jerome Allen pulls Lewis out of the starting five, he won’t get 10 minutes on the court.

10 assists for the Quakers – OVER

Last night was pretty pathetic from a passing perspective, as the Quakers only had six assists the entire night. That won’t be good enough as they go into the rest of the Ivy schedule, and I think they can amend their issues.

Darien Nelson-Henry is getting better every game, and the better that he gets, the more attention that will be focused on him, thus allowing openings around the perimeter, and space for guards to drive and dish.

FIve offensive rebounds for the Quakers – OVER

Last night’s abysmal performance on the boards won’t be repeated again. While Fran is still finding his shooting touch, his timing on the defensive end last night wasn’t terrible, and it’s bound to improve going forward.

Five blocks combined for Dougherty and Nelson-Henry – Under

Last night, Fran and DNH both had monster blocks that really helped Penn maintain momentum going forward. The chances of that happening again this season are relatively low, which is a shame for fans. While DNH has surged on the offensive end of the floor, defensively he has struggled at times, so being able to see him rise up and almost throw one out of bounds should give fans hope, but their combined five blocks last night was a fluke more than anything.

Over/Under: Temple Edition

Ten point loss for Penn: OVER

Temple (12-5) plays Penn (3-14) in its last matchup before traveling to No. 9 Butler. A trap game for the Owls as they keep their attention focused on playing a national powerhouse in just three days? The problem with this theory is that Temple has already played then-No. 2 Duke, then-No. 3 Syracuse and then-No. 6 Kansas. In the so-called “trap games” right before those matchups, Temple is 2-1. Although history suggests that if Temple hopes to beat Butler, then the Owls should drop this game against Penn. Their lone victory over a top-10 opponent this season came against Syracuse after losing to Canisius three days earlier.

Still, Temple is in the hunt for a Big 5 title with a 1-0 record at this point in the season. The wheels are falling off for a Penn team that will most likely be without leading scorer Fran Dougherty for the eighth straight game. Even an unfocused Temple team, Fran Dunphy, would secure a comfortable win over the reeling Quakers, who are 0-3 against Big 5 opponents this season.

Double-double for Darien Nelson-Henry: UNDER

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Over/Under: St. Joe’s Edition

OverUnderPenn scoring 60 points: UNDER

The Hawks hold opponents to around 65 points per game, and the Quakers are not up to the quality of opponent that the Hawks have faced this season. St. Joe's faced off against Harvard early in the year and held the Crimson to 56 points in a 19-point victory, and no disrespect to the Red and Blue, but if Harvard had trouble putting up points, then odds are the Quakers will as well.

10 points per game for Tony Hicks: OVER

I think that, among other things, that this season hinges upon Tony Hicks' ability to put points on the board for the Quakers. If he finishes the year putting up 10 points per game, then the Quakers may be able to hang around in the Ivy League race.

Maybe it's my heart speaking and not my head, but I think he can do it. He's shown more aggressiveness of late, and anyone who has seen this team play knows that's what the Red and Blue need more than anything. I'm not saying that this will let the Quakers win the Ivy or anything, just that it will be a little more interesting.

10 minutes each for Dau Jok and PLP: OVER

Again, speaking with my heart rather than my head. Patrick Lucas-Perry isn't the biggest guy on the already-small Quakers, but he is what they need on offense. His shooting from the outside has kept Penn potent on offense when he's on the floor. His last second shot against NJIT gave the Quakers a much need win, and they have to at least give him more minutes and see what he can do.

The same goes for Dau Jok. His shooting number are on par with starter Steve Rennard's, but Jok gives the Quakers more than just the three-ball. His ability to rebound is something the Quakers need, and something that Rennard just can't give them.

Darien Nelson-Henry getting 10 rebounds: UNDER

Darien Nelson-Henry is going to be a force in the Ivy League for a long time, but he's not quite there yet on the defensive end. While he was able to rebound against NJIT, he'll have more difficulty against the larger Hawks.

He averages 8.28 rebounds per 40 minutes in general, and that number is inflated by the type of competition the Quakers have played in which Nelson-Henry has received a large quantity of minutes (Wagner, NJIT). It's no disrespect to Nelson-Henry. It's just a learning process.

A five-point loss for Penn: OVER

This one won't be close, folks. St. Joe's has played a tough schedule, and while they haven't won all of their games, the scores can been close. Two days ago, they went to overtime against a strong VCU team, beat Notre Dame at the start of the season, and have handled two Ivy League opponents that have played significantly better than Penn has this season.

Over/Under – Princeton

OverUnderWin for Penn – UNDER

For the first time this season, Over/Under is debating not how many points the Quakers will lose by, but rather whether Penn can actually win this game. The beginning of the Ivy League schedule and matchups against common opponents for Penn and Princeton signal fresh hope for the Quakers. Against common opponents, Penn is 0-4. But Princeton hasn’t fared much better, going just 1-3. That lone victory came over Lafayette by a score of 72-53 on Nov. 24. Penn lost to Lafayette by two points its last time on the court.

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Over/Under – Butler Edition

OverUnder90 points for Butler – Over
Penn (2-9) has already allowed 80+ points in both games against Delaware, a team with a losing record at 5-8. Now facing a top-20 opponent and likely the toughest opponent on the schedule, expect the Quakers defense to break down yet again. No. 17 Butler (10-2) averages just under 75 points per game but has already reached the upper 80s in a couple of games so far this season. Top scorers Rotnei Clarke, Andrew Smith, Kellen Dunham and Khyle Marshall all average over 10 points per game. This offensive firepower will wear down the Quaker defense and allow the Bulldog bench to get in on the action as well.

30 point win for ButlerOver
Butler is 5-0 at home this season and has only lost 25 times at Hinkle Fieldhouse in the past 12 seasons. Penn is winless away from home this year with an 0-7 combined record in neutral and true road games. Penn comes in riding a four-game losing streak during which the average defeat has been 13 points. Butler, in contrast, has won its last seven by an average margin of victory of 15.4 points. But considering that Indiana, Northwestern, and Vanderbilt were three of those Butler victories, look for Butler to get over that 30-point cushion.

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Over/Under – Wagner Edition

OverUnderOur second Over/Under focuses on Penn's battle with Wagner. Who's over and who's under?

15 bench points for Penn – Over
Penn has had fewer that 15 points from its bench just three times this season. But Penn's 83-60 loss at Delaware marked the lowest total of the season with just nine. This was due to the fact that Penn lacked three starters and dressed just seven players. The key to bench contribution will be based on how many players are back in uniform. If all three of the suspended starters return, Jamal Lewis, Dau Jok, and Camryn Crocker can move back to the bench where they provide a combined 10.3 points per game. Freshman Tony Hicks, averaging another 5.1 points per contest, would be an important addition to the bench should he be allowed to return. Even if all the suspended players plus the injured Simeon Esprit are again unable to play, Penn needs more of a contribution from the reserves in order to compete and improve upon its average of 62.2 points per game, good for 285th nationally.

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Over/Under – Delaware Edition

Another new Buzz feature comes just in time for Penn's tilt with Delaware tonight. Just like the name says on the tin, we'll look at whether the Quakers and their opponents will go over or under a certain number. 

 

15-point win for the Blue HensUNDER

Since Delaware trumped Penn, 84-69, in the first round of this year’s NIT Season Tip-Off Tournament, both teams have taken a nosedive. Both teams have dropped seven of their last eight and are coming off of a double-digit loss to Villanova. But while UD is only averaging 2.7 points per game more than Penn, the Blue Hens' schedule has been much more daunting, including blowout losses to Pitt (which boasts the nation's seventh-ranked defense) and No. 2-ranked Duke. The key to keeping the game close for Penn will be limiting Devon Saddler’s production. The junior guard averages 20.5 points per game and has led the team in scoring in eight of the team’s 11 games. Expect Penn to use the 13-day break since the last game to figure out how to stop the Delaware offense and keep this game closer than the first meeting.

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